Macro Research
Macro analysis — DXY, rate cycles, BTC correlations, and global market structure.
After 162k Payrolls and Waller: BTC Tagged $82k and Gave It Back Again
August nonfarm payrolls printed 162,000. Waller laid out a hold condition the day before. Bitcoin tagged $82,300 and lost it on the jobs session. Nvidia cleared $230. Hynix lost 1.69 million won. The tape is still split.
After 3.7% PCE and Warsh: BTC Tagged $81k and Gave It Back
July PCE printed 3.7% year over year. Warsh called the 2% target fixed. The dollar reclaimed 99.2. Bitcoin tagged $81,478 and lost $80,000 the same day. Nvidia beat and reclaimed $218. The tape is still split.
Why BTC $76K Matters After the Summer Box Break
Bitcoin left the 62K–67K summer box and tagged $79,500. US stocks and Nvidia did not follow. Korean memory bounced on buybacks. Jackson Hole is next.
Why BTC $65K Matters as Long Yields Hit Semiconductors
KOSPI fell 5.8% and SK Hynix dropped 9.8%. The dollar broke below 99, while BTC retests $65,000 inside a 62K–67K range.
Bitcoin at $65K: Why Four Timeframes Need Separate Reads
A BTC-only brief separating daily, 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute charts around $65,000, extreme fear, ETF flow, and funding.
Semiconductors Disagree, Bitcoin Stalls at the Box Top
NVDA and SK Hynix show low-area responses; TSMC stalls high. BTC chops ~61.6K–64.7K. Dollar and yields don’t share one story.